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Youth unemployment in South Africa : a VUCA challenge in a local economic development
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Youth unemployment in South Africa : a VUCA challenge in a local economic development

Bulelwa Maphela and Eyitayo Francis Adanlawo
F1000 research, Vol.15
2026
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10210/520921

Abstract

VUCA analysis Local economic development SDGs Leadership approaches Youth unemployment
Background The youth unemployment rate remains one of the most pressing socioeconomic challenges in South Africa. Despite attempts by the government to alleviate and address youth unemployment, this issue remains largely unresolved. This study addresses three questions. (1) What does the latest evidence say about the incidence, distribution, and drivers of youth unemployment? (2) How effective are existing policies and programs, including public employment and activation interventions? (3) What integrated strategy, grounded in a trilogy of SDGs and leadership, offers the best prospects for durable improvement? Methods The analysis draws on the relevant scholarly and policy literature to map emerging trends, structural challenges, and institutional responses related to youth unemployment. The scope focuses on youth aged 15-34, provincial and spatial disparities, gender dynamics, and the interface between education/training systems and firm-level demands. Results The findings reveal an intense concentration of unemployment among young people, especially women and those with low qualifications, and that youth unemployment is sensitive to economic cycles, infrastructure constraints, energy insecurity, and global shock. To curb this situation, counter-cyclical measures such as public employment programs and targeted SME support are required; flexible skills development strategies and diversification policies to navigate uncertainties and prepare youth for shifting labor markets are required; education reform, infrastructure investment, and gender-responsive design are also required. Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of integrating public employment programs into youth employment and development policies in South Africa.
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