Abstract
This research explores the socio-economic implications of South Africa's transition from coal
dependency to renewable energy, with a particular focus on the decommissioning of Komati Power
Station as a key case study. The study addresses the broader national context of South Africa’s
energy transition, which confronts the dual challenges of climate change and economic equity,
especially in coal-dependent regions such as Mpumalanga. To critically assess the impacts of this
transition, the research combines the World Economic Forum (WEF) framework with IRENA’s socioeconomic
footprint analysis. This methodological synergy aims to quantify South Africa's transition
potential and identify key socio-economic risks and opportunities.
The research uncovers significant challenges associated with the energy transition, including
potential job losses in the coal sector, inadequate reskilling opportunities, and insufficient
investment in infrastructure. These issues disproportionately affect vulnerable communities and
underscore the need for policies that integrate environmental sustainability with social justice.
Recommendations for policymakers emphasise the importance of strengthening social protection
mechanisms, developing region-specific plans, enhancing institutional coordination, and increasing
investment in renewable energy projects to ensure an equitable transition.
A key outcome of the research is the calculation of South Africa's Transition Potential Score,
combining qualitative insights with quantitative data to provide a comprehensive measure of the
country's readiness for a Just Transition. Future research will further explore the role of informal
economies, gendered impacts, and global comparative case studies to deepen the understanding of
the socio-economic dynamics at play. This study contributes to the growing body of knowledge on
energy transitions, advocating for a transition that balances environmental goals with social equity,
fostering long-term economic resilience and dignity for all South Africans.