Abstract
M.Phil.
The construction of mathematical models for making projections of future
energy demand is an important step in the formulation of an energy policy for
a country or region. In this dissertation the different approaches to energy
modelling are investigated. The history of the modelling effort in the world
and South Africa is briefly discussed.
The development of a comprehensive database is of vital importance for the
success of any modelling effort. An energy database for South Africa was
developed.
An existing energy forecasting model was updated and extended to cover eleven
final consuming sectors. Projections of energy demand were made to illustrate
the mechanism of the model.