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Topics on the valuation of equity-linked death benefits and other contingent options
Dissertation   Open access

Topics on the valuation of equity-linked death benefits and other contingent options

Peace Victory Shipalana
Doctor of Philosophy (PHD), University of Johannesburg
2026
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10210/521386

Abstract

This thesis draws its inspiration from the existence of Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB) within various deferred annuities, prompting an investigation into the computation of the expected discounted value of a payment upon death. This payment is contingent on the stock price at that moment, potentially influenced by the stock price’s historical trend. In instances where the payment mirrors an option’s payoff, the agreement for such a payment is termed a (life) contingent option. Historically, the estimation of each time-to-death distribution involved a linear combination of exponential distributions. This study delves into scenarios where the time until death follows a Phase-type (PH) distribution for an individual life and adheres to a bivariate Sarmanov distribution for a joint life or the last surviving individual. The time until death stochastic variable is presumed to be unrelated to the stock price evolution, modeled as a geometric Brownian motion. The primary analytical tool utilized is a discounted joint density function. A comprehensive set of analytical expressions is derived for contingent call and put options, lookback options, as well as barrier options. Within a segment focusing on multiple stocks, the technique of Esscher transforms emerges as advantageous in determining, among other things, a precise valuation for contingent Margrabe options or exchange options.
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