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Ensemble model and integration in a data visualisation framework for rapid screening of COVID-19 : A Zimbabwe use case
Dissertation   Open access

Ensemble model and integration in a data visualisation framework for rapid screening of COVID-19 : A Zimbabwe use case

Chenjerai Naboth Sisimayi
Doctor of Philosophy (PHD), University of Johannesburg
2026
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10210/520075

Abstract

This study presents the development and validation of a novel hybrid Artificial Intelligence (AI) framework for the automated detection of COVID-19 from a limited dataset of 510 chest X-ray images sourced from a Zimbabwean radiology center, specifically addressing the challenges of data scarcity and resource constraints in low-resource healthcare settings. By combining Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures (Visual Geometry Group 16 and EfficientNetB0) for deep feature extraction with a Random Forest (RF) classifier, our proposed hybrid models demonstrated a significant leap in diagnostic performance over traditional deep learning approaches. After addressing a severe class imbalance (90 positive vs. 420 negative cases) using the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique, our hybrid models achieved outstanding accuracy, with the EfficientNetB0 and Boruta derived model reaching 96.0% accuracy, 93.8% precision, and 96.2% recall, a substantial improvement from the 88.2% accuracy of a baseline CNN model. The integration of dimensionality reduction techniques like the Boruta algorithm and Principal Component Analysis proved critical in refining the feature space for the RF classifier, with Area Under Curve scores improving from 0.68 for the baseline CNN model to a minimum of 0.98 for the hybrid approaches. Further enhancing the framework, topological data analysis using the Mapper algorithm provided useful qualitative insights into the data’s structure, revealing distinct clusters, loops, and flares that correspond to underlying patterns of COVID-19 pathology, which are often missed by conventional statistical methods. These topological maps demonstrated superior separability between COVID-19 positive and negative cases, with the algorithm successfully identifying subpopulations and continuous profile variations that may represent different disease severity or presentations. The topological features extracted through Mapper graphs captured the essential geometric and structural properties of the data set, achieving higher classification accuracy than the hybrid models developed and evaluated in this study. The findings demonstrate that hybrid AI models, enhanced by topological analysis, can achieve diagnostic accuracy comparable to typically expensive laboratory tests while providing interpretable insights crucial for clinical decision-making, offering a promising solution for improving COVID-19 detection capabilities in settings where traditional diagnostic infrastructure is limited or unavailable.
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