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Development of an intelligent traffic congestion management model: a case study of Kinshasa, DRC
Dissertation   Open access

Development of an intelligent traffic congestion management model: a case study of Kinshasa, DRC

Antoine Kazadi Kayisu
Doctor of Philosophy (PHD), University of Johannesburg
2024
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10210/520716

Abstract

Urban traffic congestion is a huge problem that affects cities worldwide, particularly in rapidly urbanizing areas where population growth significantly outpaces infrastructure development. Kinshasa, the capital city of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), exemplifies these challenges, with inadequate road infrastructure unable to meet the needs of its growing population. This has led to severe traffic congestion, increased pollution, and substantial economic losses, necessitating the need for effective solutions. Presented in this thesis is a novel approach to managing traffic congestion in Kinshasa through the integration of multiple methodologies — COMPRAM (Complex Problem Handling Methodology), System Dynamics, and Artificial Intelligence (AI). COMPRAM is used to comprehensively address the multifaceted and interrelated nature of traffic congestion, involving phases such as problem identification, stakeholder engagement, scenario building, and solution development. System Dynamics modeling is employed to understand the feedback loops, delays, and causal relationships within Kinshasa’s traffic system, offering a dynamic perspective of how different interventions can impact the city over time. AI techniques, such as Large Language Models (LLMs), Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), and Extreme Learning Machines (ELMs) are also incorporated to assist either in the planning process or in developing adaptive traffic management solutions capable of predicting and mitigating congestion in real-time. The study identified key factors contributing to traffic congestion in Kinshasa, such as rapid population growth, deteriorating infrastructure, and inadequate public transportation. The research models and of the various traffic scenarios by employing System Dynamics, provided insights into how different interventions — such as increasing public transport capacity or improving road infrastructure — could alleviate congestion. The employment of AI-driven tools showed that the potential to further enhance these models by providing predictive capabilities, allowing urban planners to make informed, and data-driven decisions. This interdisciplinary approach aims to provide a sustainable and cost-effective solution for Kinshasa’s traffic issues, particularly in light of the city’s limited resources. The findings of this research demonstrate that a combination of structured problem-solving such as COMPRAM, dynamic system modeling, and AI can significantly enhance the effectiveness of urban traffic management. Moreover, the proposed methodology offers a scalable framework that can be adapted to other cities facing similar challenges, providing a pathway toward more intelligent, adaptive, and resilient urban transportation systems.
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